2013-09-01

Syria Chemical Attack Possibilities


Since Syria chemical incident, there have been many theories. While we don't know exactly what's true, I believe the reason behind it is not only 1 but several. Below, I briefly add few more possibilities to the pot:

1- We all have noticed Israel harsh reaction, since Rohani's election. She seems to be sleepless, fearing some kind of deals between Washington (+ others) & Tehran. On the other hand, Iran has never been shy to express his strong support for Syria - not just recently but for many years. In other words, any attack on Syria, can be interpreted as an attack on Iran (at least, from Iran's regime point of view), & that will sour any possible sweet talk between US (+ the rest of the west) & Iran. Since all Israel efforts to twist US arms to attack Iran has been failed so far, Israel is using Syria:

a)      in the short term: to stop any deal or normalization of relation between west & Iran.
b)      in the medium term: open gate for military conflict between US (&possibly west) & Iran by pooling the foot of both US & Iran into Syria.
c)      in the long term: since that will pull some other ME feet in this war game (Saudi, Turkey, etc.), at very least, it'd be very fruitful for Israel by weakening & destabilizing all these ME countries from military, economy, political, internal, & other point of views (like Iraq & Iran war).

2- President Obama, VP Biden & others in US have expressed to Israel, even publicly & openly, many times, that their "military option on table" is not a bluff, & on the other hand, Israel has expressed its concern & doubt. In this Syria matter, Israel is testing Obama. It's like a tiny quiz before the final test. And Mr. Obama, with that politically unwise & naïve statement he made while ago (attack if chemical line is crossed by Assad), is stuck in something that can't neither change the gear forward nor reverse. After all, his, his administration, & US face is on stake here. And Israel knows that very well. In other word, Israel has put him in the corner. Let's not forget, next year (2014) is US congressional election. Is it really Obama, who's putting pressure on Congress about Syria, or it's other way?!

3- Marginalizing Palestine negotiation. Israel & Palestine negotiation restarted just recently with so much Kerry's air mileage points & hope but no one talks about it these days. It moved to the sideline. Especially with recent killing of 3 Palestinians & continuation of building construction, the negotiation power has weakened. Is this all part of tricks that Israel has been playing for many years: always, something more important happens!?

4- Marginalizing Egypt coup: Situation in Egypt is much worse than what they talk about & what they calculated & expected (by those behind the coup). But no more news coverage.

5- Same thing for Libya coup. Maybe during the shipment of "democracy" vehicle there, some parts got missed from the containers!

6- Same thing for Iraq's failure & everyday bombings & killings of innocent people.

7- Same thing for everyday failures in Afghanistan.

8- Maybe it's done by some Arab counties (Saudi, Qatar, etc.) with/without Turkey &/or Israel to pull feet of some big cats into the game to finish Assad sooner because it's been taking much more time & $ than what they originally thought & calculated.

Some other possibilities:

9- Maybe it's done by Iran:
                       
a)      to open a new war front for US, while it's ending Afghanistan's front, to further engaging it, to not to attack Iran. After all, Afghanistan & Iraq wars discourage US to open a new front by attacking Iran.
b)      to silence Iranians complains for its economical problems by engaging in a war (like during Iraq war).
c)      to test US & west.

10- Maybe it's done by Russia:

a)      to open a new war front for US, while it's ending Afghanistan's front, to further weaken her economic & global image - like what US did to Soviet Union during cold war race & Soviet 8 years war in Afghanistan. As US goes further under deep debt, its ability to respond to even real threat in future will diminish. This puts US in a dangerous position.
b)      to cut some deals with US & west: I give OK in UN Security Council about Syria, & in return, you give me…

11- Maybe it's done by Assad:

a)      To unify public behind one front against foreign attack on country: USA & Israel, which are not very popular deep in the heart of Syrian people or the rest of ME people. Even Saudi, Qatar, or Iran are not very popular there either. If opposition sleeps with them these days, is because of guns & money, which they can't continue without them. Now, in case of foreign war, anyone joins the other side (any opposition), is going to immediately be considered by public (& of course, Assad's media) as traitor.
b)      After 2 years of internal conflict, Syrian people (even those who are not fighting, even Assad's supporters) are getting very tired. Any complain about any shortage (food, gas, etc.), will be justified by regime for the same reason: foreign war (like during Iraq & Iran war).

2012-09-12

October Surprise Conspiracy


I think the recent attacks on US embassies in Egypt & Libya on Sept-11-2012 may have been orchestrated by Republican Party and/or its supporters, for political gains before election as part of their October-Surprise (OS) mission, similar to the one they did back in 1980 for Reagan/Bush against President Carter, & made a deal behind curtains, behind State department, CIA, etc. with hostage takers & government of Iran (& again in Iran-Contra/Irangate). The immediate question is the coincidence of all these activities & events:

1- This video (which everyone in universe, before even its production, could clearly predict it’d provoke & upset Muslims) was produced & put on internet just weeks before election & debates. Note: Production time & Release time.
1.a- Was this some Republicans idea to write & produce this film?
1.b- And release it at such a critical time?
1.c- Involving the famous Christian priest who burned Quran, which everyone in Muslim world knows him?
1.d- Produced by an Israeli-Jew filmmaker & 100s of Jewish donors? While we know how sensitive are Muslims to Israel & Jews & Christians. Such a perfect combination! Was this planned as part of Romney’s recent trip to Israel & recent close relation to Jews?

2- Before even Americans see this clip, radicals in Egypt & Libya (where most people don’t even have computer or internet, & very slow internet (which is very hard to see a video)), quickly saw it & quickly stormed to embassies in a very organized & sophisticated way. Did they know this in advance, & know it coming? Was this already planned?

3- Compare this with many similar past incidents (priest’s Quran burning, military Quran burning in Afghanistan, articles & caricatures about Islam or Muhammad, etc.) & reaction time/magnitude/sophistication in Muslim world (e.g., in Afgh., Pakistan, etc.). This was unprecedented.

4- Mr. Romney’s complain, press conference, etc. was very quick. Did he know this is coming in advance & planned for it? Did he write his complain statements & speech in advance, leaving some parts empty to see how things would fold, how US embassy, white-house, Pres. Obama would respond, etc.? He was surprisingly very prepared for Q&A, which he usually doesn’t. Please forgive me: the person who farts, usually is the 1st one who senses & complains about the smell.

5- Recently Mr. Romney & Republicans, strangely & suddenly, have got very close to Israel & Jews: Israel trip, meetings w/Bibi & other officials in Israel & US, a lot of statements about Israel security, friendship, support, etc.

6- A lot of harsh statements against Iran, exaggerate its threat, military attack option, Israel right to attack, etc.

7- Strong statements & position by Netanyahu & others, in Israel & US against Pres. Obama about Iran which has been intensifying more & more since last year as we get closer & closer to election. Obviously, Mr. Netanyahu has been using this election opportunity as leverage to get a promise from Pres. Obama Re. Iran & Palestine after election but has not getting it. Has he been preparing an OS together with Republicans before election? To further delay Palestine statehood discussion! His speech & complain the day before!

8- 32 years ago, same Likud Party, distance itself from Pres. Carter & positioned itself against him which cost him to lose election to Reagan/Bush. This happen when Pres. Carter was pushing Prime Minister Menachem Begin (from same Likud Party) to accept 2 states solution w/Palestinian. PM Begin was worry that if Pres. Carter got elected, he’d pushed him to accept Palestinian state (like what he did during Egypt-Israel negotiation over Sinai, which PM Begin wasn’t happy about it.)

9- Republican know that one of Pres. Obama’s winning cards is his foreign policy, & their & Romney’s weakness, & they have been trying heavily to undermine that.

10- Exact date of this attack (9/11): Since Pres. Obama is depictured as the champion of bringing 9/11 mastermind (Osama B.) to justice, this may have been planned on exactly 9/11 to diminish that. Note: Romney’s quick & immediate speech after this incident also reflected that.

11- Location of this attack: Why this didn’t happen in Afgh. or Pakistan (usual places – usual suspect)? Egypt: where Pres. Obama had speech, Mubarak, Morsi, etc. Libya: where Pres. Obama helped without 1 American casualty (despite all Republicans’ initial complains). If US embassy were open in Syria & Iran, surely it’d happen there too.

Republicans probably are doing OS again, using the same square: US, Israel, Iran, Palestine. I don’t think they intended any American to die – they may have miscalculated. Some people, like Robert Parry have been talking about another OS since some time ago (see: “An Israeli October Surprise for Obama?” at http://consortiumnews.com/2012/08/18/an-israeli-october-surprise-for-obama). Republican know very well since long time ago that beside the 1%, they have no winning card in this election (women, Af-Am, Latin, LGBT, youngs, any minority, environmentalist, elderly, pro SS, pro health care/Medicare/Medicaid, the 99%,… nada). They needed something big. This may not be the last - they may have more.

These are just my thoughts. I’ve no proof. I’m writing this, not much for its impact on election but for much more serious matter: these types of activities, jeopardize the security of US, Americans, & assets, inside & abroad; as well as allies, innocent people, US foreign relation w/other countries, war, etc. The people who did this operation should be captured alive to find the main architect behind it.

2012-01-23

World #1 Problem: We Are Too Many

World's high population is the main cause of global issues.
The root cause of each & every major global issues today is because we (human race) are more than what we suppose to be. Some of the existing issues which many of them are also increasing every day: Global hunger; food shortage & price increase; energy shortage, increase in demand & price; poverty; water shortage; lack of job (high unemployment); political conflicts; wars; terrorism; growing unrest, demonstrations, revolutions, and strikes; increase in number of cars, devices, and garbage; increase in pollution (soil, water, air, atmosphere, orbit); lack of education (cost increase, less affordable, high dropout); health issues (fast disease distribution, new sickness, new & stronger bacteria/viruses, medical cost increase, less affordable); crime rate (& increase in brutality); drug creation, trafficking, addiction, etc (& all crime & murder related to it); prostitution; over fishing; etc….

With significant & continuous improvement in technology (machines, computer, robotics, automation, etc.), management, and efficiency; less & less work force is needed everyday to produce the same stuff for everyone and satisfy the demand. Therefore, less & less workers are needed, which leads to more & more layoffs & unemployment.

Syriana said: “capitalism can’t survive without waste”. It needs increase in population, consumption, replacement, through out, and waste. More waste leads to more pollution but a lot of big corporations, investors, shareholders, and people, don’t care. More pollution cause more environmental impacts, more impacting animals, plants, seas & oceans, coral reefs,…, and human itself. Yes, we are also shooting ourselves in the foot.

The main problem, the root cause for all the suffering of nature (trees, etc.) & wild animals, if u trace is one thing: We (Human) are Too Many. Huge human population growth in the world in such a short time within ~ half a century (and keep growing), has caused so much problem for nature, as well as human itself. Look at the diagrams of the human population growth - it's scary. Imagine if any large animal in world had such a growth & population & presence on whole earth, and we were the minority! We'd all die from heart attach. I don't know how these poor animals had survived! Please advocate to every country and UN to do something about this epidemic (from nature point of view); to teach & encourage people to keep # of children 2 or below; give them free condom, or whatever that works.

No more horizontal expansion of human cities. Human has already expanded too much, and taken most of planet, made life very difficult for all animals & plants who share this planet Earth with us. Human must stop its population growth, and for the meantime, expand cities only vertically, to leave this little space that has left for the rest of nature.

If a solar storm (or any other national disaster) happen, & we lose electricity, power, energy, etc., it’ll be very hard for people on earth to survive.

From Doc. film "Planet Earth":
* Over the last 300 yrs, we’ve lost ~ 0.5 of the world’s forest. But the pattern of loss has been very different. So much of the earlier period of loss, covered the temperate forests, in both the north & the south, especially in EU & N-America more recently, we are finding we are losing tropical forests at a much quicker rate than previously. Is the ultimate problem for wilderness worldwide that there r simply too many people?

* Jonathon Porritt (Chair, UK Sustainable Development Commission): One thing that’s always worried me ~ the environment movement for the last 30 yrs., is their inability to get their heads around the importance of population…. But the issue of population lies absolutely at the heart of destruction of the natural world today.